Randium
11-Nov-17 11:12
I know, right? 😆
Well, it seems like the lovers wanna kill an innocent today. However, if they do so (if you do your calculations), that would mean the werewolves will kill Jay eventually, which will make them lose.
However, they currently know who's innocent and who's a werewolf. If they take a high roll by creating a conspiracy channel with all the remaining survivors, they have a group of innocents during the day to slaughter the werewolves, and during the night a group to kill all the innocents.
And then, at some point, there'd just be three of them, which is when they can reveal themselves.
If they're remaining with one werewolf, then Thrimian just votes for the werewolf, which will result in a tie. Which will make it day.
However, when it's day, it's two to one. Which would make the lovers win.
They do suspect that BhunaBoy is the White Werewolf. However, the game will also depend on whether he will kill someone tonight or not.
You could say that he kinda has to, if he wants to kill all werewolves before the innocents are dead.
On the other hand, two deaths in one night would make people suspect that the white werewolf is still at stake, and that BhunaBoy was lying about the fact that Vyryn was a white werewolf.(edited)
Which will throw him immediately out of the game.
If he wants to win, I think he'll have to hope that the lovers will either play badly, or that he finds out who they are, and then either kills Jay Arr as a werewolf or Thrimian as a white werewolf. Or he'll have to hope that he's that one guy left over with the two lovers. If I calculate it correctly, he'll have that night the opportunity to kill Thrimian as the white werewolf, which will make him win instantly.
Another interesting thing is the mayor. If Alex Kat dies, there's gonna be a giant shift of power. So late in the game, the influence of the mayor is huge.
I'm looking forward to the next few days. This is going to be interesting!